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Postby Estasiash » Sun Jul 22, 2012 3:41 am

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May 10, 2012 6:51 pm

Warnings of civil unrest in Venezuela


By Benedict Mander in Caracas

Politicians across the spectrum in Venezuela are trading dire predictions of impending violence in the vacuum left by uncertainty about the health of President Hugo Ch¨¢vez.


The opposition has warned of plans to postpone or even cancel elections due in October because of speculation that the socialist leader¡¯s cancer will prevent him from running.

MoreOn this story Chavez sets up Council of StateView from Caracas Trouble in Venezuela brings benefits to its neighbour Ch¨¢vez supporters celebrate amid worries Fleeing judge accuses Ch¨¢vez of abusesOn this topic Ch¨¢vez accused of eroding rights Venezuela more prone to oil price jitters Crime rates pose threat to Ch¨¢vez Ch¨¢vez vows to run in electionIN Latin America & Caribbean Call to scrap Mexico poll result Paraguay counts cost of Lugo¡¯s sacking Mexico poll result faces legal challenge Brazil car loan defaults surge
¡°Civil unrest is coming, they are going to provoke it, to stop the elections,¡± Henry Ramos Allup, a leading opposition politician, Ralph Lauren told reporters this week, accusing the government of arming paramilitary groups with Kalashnikov rifles.


¡°Since they can¡¯t win the elections, those subversive groups will organise a tumult including looting, selective attacks on opposition leaders and members of the middle classes,¡± he said, adding that this would be used to justify military rule.


On the other side, government officials and loyalists have spoken chaussure ralph lauren of plots to assassinate Mr Ch¨¢vez and stage coup d¡¯¨¦tats.


The president himself, who officials said on Wednesday had just completed a sixth round of radiotherapy in Cuba following a recurrence of the cancerous tumour in his pelvic region, broke a week-long silence on Monday to denounce such schemes, as well as deny that he was abandoning his duties as president while in Cuba.


¡°They have always had and always will have those plans up their sleeve, with the backing of the empire [the US government], most of all because of Venezuela¡¯s vast resources,¡± he said during a telephone call to state television. ¡°Our task is to Ralph Lauren be alert to neutralise [any attempt at destabilisation],¡± he added, before chemise ralph lauren promising a ¡°knockout¡± election victory in October.


The information minister, the attorney-general, two prominent deputies in congress and a pundit on state television have all made similar warnings this week. On Wednesday, the pundit claimed on a prime-time programme that a puzzle in one of the country¡¯s most widely circulated newspapers contained a hidden message instigating the assassination of the president¡¯s older brother, Ad¨¢n Ch¨¢vez.


Speculation about the health of Mr Ch¨¢vez has been mounting. He has been seen in public only once since mid-April, in a short address which ended with the leader in tears. Last week, he created a council of state, ostensibly charged with advising the president on policy issues. But some believe the agency is a transitional body intended to smooth the way towards a post-Ch¨¢vez Venezuela. Venezuela¡¯s sovereign debt has rallied on the speculation over Mr Ch¨¢vez¡¯s illness, as investors bet that a more market-friendly government may soon take power.


The contrasting versions of reality given by either side are also reflected in opinion polls. Jesse Chac¨®n, a former minister turned pollster running Caracas-based GIS XXI, said on Wednesday that an April survey showed that 57 per cent intended to vote for Mr Ch¨¢vez, compared with just 21 per cent for the opposition candidate, Henrique Capriles Radonski.


That contrasts with the results released on Tuesday of a hitherto-unknown outfit called Encuestadora Nacional Predicm¨¢tica which showed Mr Capriles beating the incumbent by Ralph Lauren eight percentage points. Venezuelans often joke that opinion polls can be found for all tastes.



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